In Friday’s column ($), Paul Krugman issued a correction to his January 30 column ($) on Jack Abramoff:
Correction
On Jan. 30 I cited an article in The American Prospect that reported that Indian tribes who hired Jack Abramoff had reduced their contributions to Democrats by 9 percent. Dwight Morris, who prepared the study on which the article was based, says on The American Prospect’s blog that “there is no statistically valid way to calculate this number given the way the data were compiled.” The American Prospect was sloppy, and so was I for not checking its methodology.
However, Mr. Morris goes on to say this is a minor point because other calculations show “an undeniably Republican shift in giving.”
Pre-Abramoff, the tribes gave slightly more money to Democrats than to Republicans; post-Abramoff, they gave 70 percent to Republicans, versus only 30 percent to Democrats. In other words, there’s nothing bipartisan about the Abramoff scandal.
Don Luskin has been following the issue. I’ll call it a two-point error and a one-point correction. The Tapped post by Mr. Morris both supports and undercuts Mr. Krugman’s view that “any normal sense of the word “directed,” Mr. Abramoff directed funds away from Democrats, not toward them.” Mr. Morris’ data shows that the fraction of contributions from the Indian tribes given to the Republicans sharply increased while Mr. Abramoff represented them, but also that the rate of giving to Democrats increased. So Democrats gained in absolute terms, while Republicans gained both absolutely and relative to Democrats. This follows the pattern of previous Krugman corrections — he strives to simplify complex issues by citing others’ work and data to support an interpretation which is maximally hostile to the other side (”the Abramoff affair is a purely Republican scandal”).