Lying in Ponds

Thursday 2 June 2005

Luskin’s Jayson Awards

Ken Waight @ 7:32 am

I think that Donald Luskin has been enjoying the Daniel Okrent/Paul Krugman confrontation way too much. He’s taken the occasion to offer prizes for the Jayson [Blair] Awards for Most Outrageous Krugmanisms. I’ve nominated a couple of my favorites:

In 2002, Paul Krugman predicted that a drag on the economy would result from a tax form gotcha: “Finally, there’s line 47. You haven’t heard about that, but you will.”
Also in 2002, he predicted that Trent Lott would continue as Senate Majority Leader after a slap on the wrist over his remarks on Strom Thurmond’s 1948 presidential campaign.

I’m not sure if they belong in the “Worst Prediction” category, or one of the “Biggest Howler” categories.

Boxscore

1	Paul Krugman	41
2	Gail Collins	18
3	Eugene Robinson	16
4	E. J. Dionne Jr.	14
5	Bob Herbert	8
6	Clarence Page	6
7	Nicholas D. Kristof	5
8	George F. Will	1

1	William Kristol	27
2	Charles Krauthammer	27
3	Cal Thomas	19
4	Jonah Goldberg	17
5	Kathleen Parker	14
6	David Brooks	11
7	Thomas Sowell	10
8	Peggy Noonan	4
9	Maureen Dowd	1

Jonah Goldberg	04/30
Kathleen Parker	04/30
Maureen Dowd	04/30
Bob Herbert	04/29
Cal Thomas	04/29
David Brooks	04/29
E. J. Dionne Jr.	04/29
Eugene Robinson	04/29
George F. Will	04/29
Thomas Sowell	04/29
Paul Krugman	04/28
William Kristol	04/28
Maureen Dowd	04/27
Nicholas D. Kristof	04/27
Bob Herbert	04/26
Gail Collins	04/26
Charles Krauthammer	04/25
E. J. Dionne Jr.	04/25
Eugene Robinson	04/25
Jonah Goldberg	04/25
Kathleen Parker	04/25
Paul Krugman	04/25

21	David Brooks after the Iowa caucuses: "My guess is Republicans will now swing behind McCain in order to stop Mike [Huckabee]." (1/4/2008)
20	Paul Krugman: "Last, but most important, is the issue of climate change, which will eventually be recognized as the most crucial problem facing America and the world -- maybe not today, and maybe not tomorrow, but soon, and for the rest of our lives." (1/4/2008)
19	Paul Krugman: "Yet it's a very good bet that the biggest foreign policy issues for the next president will involve the Far East rather than the Middle East. In particular, the crucial questions are likely to involve the consequences of China's economic growth." (1/4/2008)
18	David Brooks: "The Bush administration is not about to bomb Iran (trust me). It�s using diplomacy to build a coalition to balance it, and reverse an ugly tide." (11/6/2007)
17	Frank Rich: "Whatever happens in or to Iran, the American public will be carpet-bombed by apocalyptic propaganda for the 12 months to come. Mr. Bush has nothing to lose by once again using the specter of war to pillory the Democrats as soft on national security." (11/4/2007)
16	Frank Rich on the killing of two Armenian Christian women in Baghdad by contractors: "There will be no trial. We will never find out what happened." (10/14/2007)
15	E.J. Dionne on 2008 Elections: "Republicans have never had much chance of recapturing the Senate in 2008, but Mark Warner's bid and the decision of Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.) to step down combined this week to make the difficult almost impossible." (9/14/2007)
14	Joe Conason on Alberto Gonzales: " No matter how discredited he is -- and no matter how much damage he continues to inflict on the Justice Department -- this attorney general will not resign." (5/11/2007): VERY WRONG
13	Frank Rich on Scooter Libby: "Even by Washington's standards, few debates have been more fatuous or wasted more energy than the frenzied speculation over whether President Bush will or will not pardon Scooter Libby. Of course he will." (3/11/2007): MOSTLY RIGHT
12	Ann Coulter on a Democratic Congress: "They will instantly set to work enacting a national gay marriage law, impeachment hearings, slavery reparations and a series of new federal felonies for abortion clinic protesters." (11/1/2006): VERY WRONG
11	Mark Steyn on 2006 Elections: "I think I said a few months back that the Dems would be waking up to their usual biennial Wednesday morning after the Tuesday night before, and I'll stick with that. ." (9/17/2006): VERY WRONG
10	Mark Steyn on 2006 Elections: "Despite the Republicans' best efforts to self-destruct, I can't see the Democrats taking either the House or Senate this November." (6/18/2006): VERY WRONG
9	Frank Rich predicts White House "election-year facsimile of an exit strategy, dangling nominal troop withdrawals as bait for voters" (6/18/2006): VERY WRONG
8	Molly Ivins on the nation's future: "Then whom do we blame when we lose the republic?" (12/28/2005): NOT REALLY A PREDICTION
7	Frank Rich on "Brokeback Mountain": "All the signs of a runaway phenomenon are present . ." (12/18/2005): MIXED
6	Mark Steyn on Syria: "Baby Assad's fall will not be long now." (10/30/2005): VERY WRONG
5	Mark Steyn on 2006 Election: "I'd bet on the Republicans holding both the House and Senate" (10/30/2005): VERY WRONG
4	Richard Cohen on Iraq: "America will leave Iraq -- not in success but in failure." (8/15/2005): TOO EARLY TO EVALUATE
3	Richard Cohen on Iraq: "Iraq is coming apart", Kurds in their own country, Shiites as an enemy nation. (8/15/2005): TOO EARLY TO EVALUATE
2	Bob Herbert on Iraq: "The fighting and the dying will continue indefinitely." (7/28/2005): RIGHT SO FAR
1	Frank Rich predicts Rove resignation (7/17/2005): VERY WRONG

Thursday 2 June 2005

Luskin’s Jayson Awards

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