lying in ponds
The absurdity of partisanship
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Friday 3 January 2003

Boxscore

FIRST AND ONLY TEAM CHAMPIONSHIP TO WSJ OPINIONJOURNAL: In addition to the individual rankings, a "team" partisanship score has been calculated for each of the three newspapers. The Wall Street Journal's OpinionJournal led the rankings all year and wins the 2002 title 21-15 over the New York Times. The Washington Post finished far behind because of greater ideological diversity and the inclusion of a large number of centrists and international affairs columnists. To make space for new columnists in 2003, only a selection of each newspapers' columnists will be evaluated this year, so team statistics will no longer be calculated.

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Thursday 2 January 2003

Boxscore

NOT GONE, JUST INACTIVE: The 14 pundits who have been dropped from the roster (Jackson Diehl, Thomas Friedman, John Fund, Bob Herbert, Fred Hiatt, Jim Hoagland, David Ignatius, Robert Kagan, Colbert King, Nicholas Kristof, Dorothy Rabinowitz, Claudia Rosett, Kimberly Strassel, and Tunku Varadarajan) will still be carried along in the daily boxscores so that you can follow the link to their latest columns. But they'll be designated as "Inactive" and their columns won't be evaluated for partisanship (for an example, see Bob Herbert's column in yesterday's boxscore).

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Wednesday 1 January 2003

Boxscore

PARTISAN PUNDITRY 2002: After evaluating all 2,129 columns written by our 37 pundits in 2002, it's time to draw some conclusions. I've stressed all along that Lying in Ponds is attempting to make a distinction between ordinary party preference (there's nothing wrong with being opinionated or having a political ideology) and excessive partisanship ("blind, prejudiced, and unreasoning allegiance"). While it's obviously difficult to draw a definitive line, the top three pundits in the rankings clearly revealed excessive partisanship by the remarkable consistency of their extremely one-sided commentary throughout the year. The New York Times' Paul Krugman took the partisanship lead early and lapped the field. In a year in which Mr. Krugman generated lots of buzz and won an award, his 18:1 ratio of negative to positive Republican references and 99 columns without a single substantive deviation from the party line were unmatched in the Lying in Ponds portion of the punditocracy. During the course of the year, I've discussed Mr. Krugman's view of partisanship, his thoughts on "balance", his treatment of the Enron scandal, and his columns in 2000.

From the Wall Street Journal's OpinionJournal, Collin Levey and Claudia Rosett earned their high rankings by following a very simple formula -- all Democrats are bad. While Ms. Levey avoided making a single positive Democratic reference in her 26 columns, Ms. Rosett did manage to praise Franklin Roosevelt -- perhaps the statute of limitations was somehow involved.

While the rest of the Top Ten pundits often wrote very partisan columns, each showed at least flickers of intellectual independence by finding that some issues were more complex than RNC or DNC propaganda might indicate. Robert L. Bartley and Michael Kelly generally avoided writing about issues uncomfortable for Republicans (Enron, Trent Lott), or wrote about them in a way which deflected the blame. Both also pummeled Bill Clinton with regularity, but each found a few reasons to criticize their own party,

Mary McGrory and Frank Rich thrashed Republicans with enthusiasm, but were also capable of very sharp criticism of Democrats. Mr. Rich's attention to the bipartisan aspects of Enron and other corporate scandals was particulary impressive; his coverage constrasted sharply with the exhaustive but blinkered treatment of Mr. Krugman. Daniel Henninger and Michael Kinsley spent enough column space on non-partisan topics to hold down their partisanship scores. Pete du Pont demonstrated independence by writing two columns of substantive criticism of the Bush administration over the issue of steel tariffs.

ON TO 2003: Starting today, a revised roster of pundits will appear in the daily boxscores, but the final 2002 statistics will be left up for a week or two. Stay tuned to see if any of the new faces (Mona Charen, Linda Chavez, Ann Coulter, Molly Ivins, Thomas Oliphant, Clarence Page, Robert Scheer, Thomas Sowell, Cal Thomas, and Walter Williams) will be able to challenge Mr. Krugman for the 2003 partisanship title.

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Tuesday 31 December 2002

Boxscore

BRAY SIGNS OUT: With today's column, the WSJ OpinionJournal's Thomas J. Bray ends his 2 1/2 year tenure as a columnist. Mr. Bray spent the year in and out of the Top Ten -- this last column dropped him from 10th to 11th in the final rankings. He was going to be kept on the Lying in Ponds roster for next year; we'll see if the OpinionJournal replaces him with a new pundit.

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Monday 30 December 2002

Boxscore

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Sunday 29 December 2002

Boxscore

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Saturday 28 December 2002

Boxscore

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Friday 27 December 2002

Boxscore

HOLIDAY PROGRAMMING: Instead of composing comments this week, I've been writing Perl scripts to download and process columns from the new pundits (coming January 1st!). So I'm cranking out stuff like this:
 ...
 $stream = HTML::TokeParser->new($file) or
     die "Couldn't read file: $file: $!";
 while ($token = $stream->get_token) {
     if ($token->[0] eq "S"    &&
 	$token->[1] eq "font" &&
 	$token->[2]{'id'} eq "columnist-name-cr") {
 	$column_section = "yes";
     } elsif ($column_section    &&
 	     ! $author          &&
 	     $token->[0] eq "T") {
 	$author = $token->[1];
 ...
 

It's fun -- no, really!

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Thursday 26 December 2002

Boxscore

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Wednesday 25 December 2002

Boxscore

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL!!

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Tuesday 24 December 2002

Boxscore

LOTTS OF MOVEMENT: Even now at the very end of the year, there has been quite a bit of movement in the bottom half of the Top Ten. The Trent Lott debacle has played a signficant role -- the partisanship scores of many Repbulican-leaning columnists (Pete du Pont, Brendan Miniter, Charles Krauthammer) have dropped and those of Democratic-leaning pundits like Frank Rich have risen because of columns critical of Lott.

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Monday 23 December 2002

Boxscore

A web site called pandagon.net doesn't seem to think highly of my efforts. Here's their post from Friday:
Every time I happen upon Lying in Ponds, I am amazed at just how much work can go into producing something so entirely useless.

First, the proprietor is attempting to "fight partisanship", which is kind of dumb when you're "fighting" the partisan leanings of opinion writers. The worthlessness of the goal, however, pales in comparison to the methodology, which basically seems to be Coulteresque word counts with even less rational thought involved. In a post, he expounds this genius bit:

When a partisan figure's actual words are quoted, it is generally evaluated as a positive reference, even if the columnist then criticizes those words.

So, if I quote someone, even if the quote is meant to give a negative impression of the person, it's a positive reference. I see.

The kicker is that the fool takes TAPped's side in their debate with Somerby. That's just wrong.

The first point comes up constantly -- aren't opinion writers supposed to be partisan? Well, they have a perfect right to be, but I'm not aware of any pundits on the Lying in Ponds roster (or any others) who admit to being partisan. Paul Krugman explicitly rejected the notion earlier this year. I've repeatedly said (see the philosophy page) that I expect pundits to have "partisan leanings", but that I'm trying to make a fundamental distinction between ordinary party preference and actual partisanship, as in this dictionary definition of partisan:

1 : a firm adherent to a party, faction, cause, or person; especially : one exhibiting blind, prejudiced, and unreasoning allegiance

Concerning the criticism of the methodology, "word counts" are a simple, imperfect tool. But it seems to me to be a reasonable attempt to quantify the tendency of partisan political writers to distort the obvious complexity of politics into a simplistic "good party/bad party" formulation. Frank Rich is an example of an opinionated, ideological columnist who manages to look beyond the party label and take consistent, principled positions.

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Sunday 22 December 2002

Boxscore

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Saturday 21 December 2002

Boxscore

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Archives

Lying in Ponds is an attempt to quantify and analyze partisanship in the American punditocracy. Lying in Ponds believes that a lack of excessive partisanship is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for constructive punditry. The views of pundits who are excessively partisan cannot be taken seriously, because their ulterior motives or uncontrolled biases are certain to frequently contaminate their judgements.

Lying in Ponds currently tracks the Democratic and Republican biases of all of the regular political columnists from the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal's OpinionJournal, and the Washington Post.

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FINAL 2002 Lying in Ponds Top Ten

The WSJ OpinionJournal has five columnists in the top ten (out of a total of 37 pundits) and ten of their twelve in the top half of the rankings.

Paul Krugman has been able to effortlessly stay ahead of the Journal crew so far. His steady anti-Republican screed stream gives him a huge lead in Median PI. The other pundits mix in more columns on non-partisan topics and occasionally find that all issues do not break down neatly along partisan lines.

The '90's aren't over yet for Robert L. Bartley and Brendan Miniter; they are in the top ten mostly because they keep the anti-Clinton columns coming. Claudia Rosett finds only one Democrat worthy of a positive reference in her columns this year -- and he's been dead for over 50 years. Collin Levey however, can't find any, dead or alive.

Ranked by Combined Partisanship Index, minimum of two columns per month. Partisanship Indices range from 0 to 100, with higher numbers indicating more partisanship. Democratic biases are in blue, Republican in red. For details, see the Methodology page.
Author/
Affiliation
Cols Comb
PI
Most Frequent Partisan References
1 Paul Krugman
New York Times
99 82 93D+: Clinton(13), Bill Clinton(8), Paul Wellstone(7)
21D-: Democrats(12), Democratic(3), Democratic National Committee
42R+: Bush(7), Republican(7), Republicans(3)
759R-: administration(188), Bush(158), Bush administration(79)
2 Collin Levey
Wall Street Journal
26 57 26D-: Clinton(3), Democratic(3), Democrat(2)
27R+: Powell(5), Bush administration(2), Republican(2)
4R-: Colin Powell(2), Nixon, Dickey
3 Claudia Rosett
Wall Street Journal
45 46 4D+: Roosevelt(2), Franklin Delano Roosevelt, FDR
43D-: Clinton(13), Bill Clinton(5), President Clinton(5)
74R+: Bush(38), President Bush(14), Giuliani(3)
18R-: President Bush(4), White House(3), Bush(2)
4 Robert L. Bartley
Wall Street Journal
46 37 33D+: President Kennedy(4), Kennedy(3), Democrats(3)
167D-: Democrats(30), Clinton(27), Democratic(12)
182R+: Bush(39), President Bush(17), Reagan(12)
100R-: Republicans(10), Bush(9), Nixon(7)
5 Michael Kelly
Washington Post
44 34 28D+: Kennedy(4), Bill Clinton(3), Democratic(2)
169D-: Clinton(36), Gore(36), Democrats(18)
144R+: Bush(60), administration(14), Bush administration(11)
60R-: Bush(19), administration(5), Republicans(5)
6 Mary McGrory
Washington Post
94 33 345D+: Democrats(24), Democratic(21), Reid(16)
213D-: Democrats(56), Democratic(14), Clinton(8)
227R+: Bush(33), Republican(19), McCain(15)
689R-: Bush(171), White House(37), Republicans(36)
7 Daniel Henninger
Wall Street Journal
49 30 29D+: Tom Daschle(4), Democratic(4), Sam Nunn(2)
113D-: Democrats(43), Democratic(9), Tom Daschle(8)
99R+: Bush(21), George Bush(16), Republicans(6)
36R-: Trent Lott(4), Republicans(3), Bush(3)
8 Frank Rich
New York Times
24 28 53D+: Democratic(6), Hart(3), Clinton(3)
187D-: Democrats(43), McAuliffe(18), Gore(15)
90R+: Republican(10), Bush(7), John McCain(6)
406R-: administration(75), Bush(75), White House(42)
9 Michael Kinsley
Washington Post
39 24 17D+: Bill Clinton(3), Democrats(3), Clinton(3)
13D-: Clinton(4), Democrats(3), Democratic(2)
18R+: Bush(4), Ronald Reagan(2), Republicans(2)
135R-: Bush(37), Republicans(12), administration(11)
10 Pete du Pont
Wall Street Journal
50 24 40D+: Democratic(7), Democrats(5), Bill Clinton(3)
121D-: Democrats(18), Democratic(12), Tom Daschle(5)
151R+: President Bush(36), Bush(28), Ronald Reagan(10)
81R-: Bush(16), President Bush(10), White House(8)
Complete Rankings


2002 Most Partisan Pundit Teams

None of the WSJ OpinionJournal pundits wander off the Republican reservation. The New York Times pundits are by far the most anti-Bush. The Washington Post has two Michaels (Kelly and Kinsley) at opposite ends of the ideological spectrum in or near the top ten.

Affiliation Cols Comb
PI
Most Frequent Partisan References
1 WSJ OpinionJournal 488 21 554D+: Democrats(63), Democratic(59), Democrat(36)
1465D-: Democrats(249), Clinton(128), Democratic(110)
1504R+: Bush(317), President Bush(133), Republicans(111)
865R-: Lott(88), Bush(82), Republicans(77)
2 New York Times 621 15 502D+: Clinton(59), Democrats(34), Democratic(26)
640D-: Democrats(142), Clinton(52), Gore(49)
668R+: Bush(154), President Bush(64), Republican(38)
2559R-: Bush(586), administration(339), Bush administration(175)
3 Washington Post 1020 2 1723D+: Democrats(147), Clinton(109), Democratic(95)
1777D-: Democrats(345), Democratic(128), Clinton(116)
2494R+: Bush(617), Republican(185), President Bush(132)
3086R-: Bush(784), administration(231), Republicans(188)



Other Statistics

Total Partisanship Index
1 Paul Krugman 78
2 Collin Levey 64
3 Claudia Rosett 52
4 Michael Kinsley 49
5 Dorothy Rabinowitz 46
Complete Rankings
Median Partisanship Index
1 Paul Krugman 86
2 Collin Levey 50
3 Claudia Rosett 40
4 Robert L. Bartley 38
5 Frank Rich 35
Complete Rankings
Positive Democratic Index
1 E. J. Dionne Jr. 19
2 Mary McGrory 18
3 David S. Broder 18
4 Bob Herbert 17
5 Tunku Varadarajan 16
Complete Rankings
Negative Democratic Index
1 Dorothy Rabinowitz 42
2 Daniel Henninger 35
3 Collin Levey 34
4 Michael Kelly 34
5 Colbert I. King 33
Complete Rankings
Positive Republican Index
1 Claudia Rosett 40
2 Collin Levey 36
3 Kimberley A. Strassel 35
4 Pete du Pont 33
5 Peggy Noonan 32
Complete Rankings
Negative Republican Index
1 Paul Krugman 75
2 Michael Kinsley 55
3 Frank Rich 47
4 Maureen Dowd 45
5 Bob Herbert 44
Complete Rankings
Positive Index
1 Peggy Noonan 44
2 Claudia Rosett 42
3 Pete du Pont 42
4 Kimberley A. Strassel 41
5 E. J. Dionne Jr. 40
Complete Rankings
Negative Index
1 Paul Krugman 77
2 Frank Rich 69
3 Michael Kinsley 60
4 Maureen Dowd 54
5 Dorothy Rabinowitz 54
Complete Rankings
Neutral Index
1 Jackson Diehl 44
2 Thomas L. Friedman 42
3 Jim Hoagland 42
4 William Safire 40
5 William Raspberry 35
Complete Rankings



The Pundits

New York Times
Bob Herbert | Bill Keller | Frank Rich | Maureen Dowd | Nicholas D. Kristof | Paul Krugman | Thomas L. Friedman | William Safire |

Washington Post
Colbert I. King | Charles Krauthammer | David S. Broder | David Ignatius | E. J. Dionne Jr. | Fred Hiatt | George F. Will | Jackson Diehl | Jim Hoagland | Michael Kelly | Michael Kinsley | Mary McGrory | Richard Cohen | Robert Kagan | Robert J. Samuelson | Sebastian Mallaby | William Raspberry |

WSJ OpinionJournal
Brendan Miniter | Collin Levey | Claudia Rosett | Daniel Henninger | Dorothy Rabinowitz | John Fund | Kimberley A. Strassel | Pete du Pont | Peggy Noonan | Robert L. Bartley | Thomas J. Bray | Tunku Varadarajan |




Punditry and Political Resources

Spinsanity has been doing a brilliant job exposing "manipulative political rhetoric" from all parts of the political spectrum. Notice that partisanship is usually the motivation for the "deception and irrationality" of their targets. The three Spinsanity guys freely disclose their Democratic party affiliations, but pledge to be "non-partisan, fair and civic-minded". Lying in Ponds couldn't agree more with their mission statement.

Some of the sharpest political commentary on the web can be found at Mickey Kaus' kausfiles.com.

Eric Alterman's book Sound and Fury : The Making of the Punditocracy, has an excellent history of the development of political punditry in this country. Alterman discusses his interesting and provocative ideas about how to elevate the level of pundit discourse. It is a valuable book despite the distracting ideological baggage. Mr. Alterman now has his own blog, Altercation, which is lively and has the added advantage of referring to one of my very favorite Python sketches, "The Argument Clinic".

The American Prospect has a great weblog called Tapped.

The Washington Post's Howard Kurtz "keeps a watchful eye on the national media."

According to Dr. Andrew R. Cline: "The Rhetorica Network, including my Rhetorica: Press-Politics Journal web log, is my attempt to explain the persuasive tactics of politics and the press." His discussion of media bias is very good.

The National Public Radio's On the Media program has lots of interesting stuff.

Economics professor Brad DeLong publishes his "thoughts of the moment on economics, and on other topics as well" in his Semi-Daily Journal.

Susanna Cornett publishes Cut on the Bias: "keeping an eye on the spins and weirdness of media, crime and everyday life."

"Got my mind on the media, and the media on my mind", Media Minded is written by an anonymous "copy editor at one of America's largest daily newspapers."

Dean Esmay is "Defending the liberal tradition in history, politics, science and philosophy" on his blog, Dean's World.

Punditwatch is Will Vehrs' "twice-weekly review of the pundits".

One of my favorite old TV shows was Fernwood Tonight, which starred Martin Mull as a sarcastic talk show host. I remember him telling guests that they were "so close to being interesting." That's the way I feel about Bob Somerby's The Daily Howler. He sporadically posts articles skewering (usually justifiably) members of the press for "howlers", which he defines as "stupid and ridiculous logical blunders". It would be so much better if Somerby were able to overcome his obvious partisan bias. He received a lot of attention during the 2000 campaign by defending Al Gore (his former Harvard roommate) from unfair criticism.

Life Outside the Punditocracy

James Lilek's Daily Bleat is an outstanding, ecclectic weblog. It's all great, even the baby pictures, dog pictures and frequently-changing page designs.

On its FAQ page, the prolific InstaPundit writing team, pretending to be a single Tennessee law professor named Glenn Reynolds, responds to the question "Aren't you biased to the left? Aren't you biased to the right? Aren't you a jingoistic, libertarian, cultural imperialist?", with "Yes." Instapundit is an excellent starting point for an exploration of the world of weblogs ("blogging").

My friend Paul's poetry site, haiku in low places.

Raleigh blogger Don McArthur dispenses blather at the Misanthropyst.

Blogger Lee Ann Morawski (formerly of Chapel Hill) dishes out "opinion, insight, commentary, sarcasm, scathing polemic, and wit" at Spinsters.